|Dew Point:||45.4°F (7.4°C)|
|Sea Level Pressure:||29.85" (1010.7 mb)|
Occasional Rain ShowersLow: 44
Rain ShowersHigh: 59 Low: 44
Mostly SunnyHigh: 63 Low: 51
Rain ShowersHigh: 57 Low: 37
SunnyHigh: 52 Low: 38
Occasional rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 44. Southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Rain showers before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59. East wind 1 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. North wind around 3 mph.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Southeast wind 2 to 14 mph.
Rain showers likely after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. South wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Rain showers before 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Mostly clear, with a low around 37.
Sunny, with a high near 52.
Clear, with a low around 38.
... The remnants of Nestor will move across the Carolinas, with light rain limited to areas southeast of Pittsburgh through mid-morning. Dry and warmer weather will start the new week before a cold front crosses the region on Tuesday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Nestor's remnant wave will continue to cross the srn Appalachians into the Carolinas this morning. Rain showers amid warm advection are spreading into the sern ridge zones at this time. But given the considerable low-level dry air evident in the KPBZ 00Z RAOB, any rain will remain light as it must overcome the abundant dry air.
Showers will exit ewd by mid-day, with shortwave ridging amplifying in the system's wake and ahead of a strengthening upper low in the Plains. Afternoon sun and warm-air advection will support unseasonable warmth, with maxima approaching 70F in most areas (cooler in the ridges, where clouds will linger longest).
Wind will not be completely calm overnight as direction backs to sely in response to the deepening Plains low. Continued moisture advection overnight may support advection fog late Sun night as air cools to saturation.
SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... A deepening upper low will advance toward the Upper MS Valley, promoting strong sly flow in the Ohio Valley. Despite increasing clouds, warm advection will enable temperature to reach the mid-upper 70s on Mon, with rain chances holding off for the better part of the day.
Coverage of rain showers will increase quickly Mon evening, with widespread showers expected prior to midnight. Moderate rain rates are expected as strong forcing for ascent associated with the wave and mid-level frontogenesis will accompany the system. The front will cross the region Tue morning, and rain will come to a speedy end as the system's mid-level dry slot invades and low-level wind veers.
Much of Tue likely will remain in the 50s until rain vacates, with modest temperature recovery possible in the afternoon. As dry air and clearing sky ensue Tue night in the wake of the upper wave, minima will end up near seasonal average in the lower 40s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Wed and Thu are expected to remain dry as sfc high pressure builds amid shortwave ridging.
Although models diverge thereafter on the details, it does appear that swly flow will encourage modest warm-air advection Thu ahead of a Plains wave. Owing to timing uncertainties, PoPs were lowered slightly below model blends into the low-chance range at the highest for much of the extended periods.