|Dew Point:||27.0°F (-2.8°C)|
|Wind:||From the SW at 3.0 MPH|
|Sea Level Pressure:||30.36" (1028.0 mb)|
Hi 48 °F
Hi 57 °F
Hi 65 °F
Hi 31 °F
Hi 27 °F
Light rain likely, mainly between 1pm and 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 48. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 35. South wind around 7 mph.
Showers likely, mainly after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 57. South wind 6 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 51. Southwest wind 10 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 65. Windy, with a southwest wind 17 to 22 mph increasing to 24 to 29 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Rain showers before 1am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 1am and 2am, then a chance of snow showers after 2am. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 28. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Scattered snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
A chance of snow after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Snow likely, mainly before 9am, then a chance of snow showers after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mon Feb 27 2017
SYNOPSIS... Rain chances return today with a crossing warm front. A series of disturbances will keep periodic rain in the forecast through mid week until the passage of a cold front returns wintry weather for the last half of the week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Mid and high clouds have essentially overspread the entirety of the CWA this morning. RUC/RAP/HRRR soundings indicate a fairly dry layer generally below 5 kft still resides over the southern flank of the area even as radar mosaics indicate precipitation is starting to spread from south to north into the CWA. This dry air will likely take a few hours to overcome, during which time temperatures with warm advection should continue to rise above freezing. Thus, most all areas will start off as and remain all rain when precipitation spreads northeastward through the afternoon as warm advection continues.
Under weak warm advection through the day, temperatures should steadily increase, however owing to virtually no chance of sunshine, highs will not really take off. That said, as 850 mb temperatures rise to around 0C by the afternoon, temperatures should rise into and through the 40s at most spots. Fries
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/... Precip chances should end this evening as the shortwave exits and the warm front lifts N of the area. The region is progged to be in the warm sector in SW flow ahead of a trough advancing ewd from the Western CONUS. Several shortwaves and increasing low level jet support are progged to cross the area with periodic showers expected Tuesday and Tuesday night. There is a chance of thunderstorms Tuesday night with elevated instability and increasing shear.
The western trough is progged to approach the Great Lakes region Wednesday as an associated surface low tracks from the Midwest into Southern Ontario. Increasing speed and directional shear is progged through the day as the low`s associated cold front approaches. 500mb winds approaching 100kt on both NAM and GFS model soundings is indicative of the strong jet progged over the area. Severe thunderstorms are possible if enough instability develops during the day. This will be monitored over the next couple of days, but a mention will be included in the hazardous weather outlook.
Broad upper troughing is expected over the area Wednesday night and Thursday, along with eventual lake and terrain enhancement in cold advection. This should keep snow showers chances in the forecast. Temperatures are expected to be 20 to 25 degrees above average Tue and Wed, returning to near or below seasonal levels Thursday.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Broad upper troughing is expected to continue through late week, with a reinforcing crossing shortwave/surface low with some snow Thursday night and Friday. General zonal flow is progged by the weekend as the trough exits, with mainly dry conditions and moderating temperatures.